The Toronto Blue Jays (49-47) and the Boston Red Sox (62-39) arrive after a rainout on Tuesday with a Wednesday double header in Fenway Park. Game 2 is expected to start around 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around Blue Jays vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Steven Matz is the planned starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. Over 17 starts, Matz is 8-5 with 4.34 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 9.2 K / 9 and 2.5 BB / 9 over 87 IP.
Matz has had too much contact lately, while throwing too many fly balls at a ground ball rate of 39% in his last four starts. A right-wing Boston line-up has 1,000 OPS against him.
RHP Tanner Houck is the planned starting pitcher for the Red Sox. In five games (three starts), the 25-year-old Righty is 0-2 with 2.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 11.5 K / 9 and 2.0 BB / 9 to 18 IP.
Houck has worked around a batting average of 0.348 for balls in play. He usually gets the Red Sox 3-5 innings in his starts (and didn’t pitch much longer in his triple-A turns before being called up) so imagine a fighting Red Sox bullpen going strong on this one Contest to participate.
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MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 12:22 p.m. ET.
However, the BLUE JAYS (110) are the best game in this competition. In a runs-versus-runs-allowed analysis, Toronto’s record is seven games below expectations. In a direct opponent example of this, the Jays outperformed the Red Sox 69-61, but are only 4-8 against them.
Matz received a .321 BABIP and a high 16.0% rate from Flyballs, that were registered as home runs are nullified. Houck is about to uncover a brawling Boston Bullpen who may not be in good shape in the second of two games of the day, even with the inning engagement shortened.
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Both offenses seem to have boiled over at their current per game spend. Both went into high leverage situations this week with a matching 0.343 BABIPs, and that has helped to overstate their offensive numbers.
Mix in towards Matz, a game-time temperature below 70 and predicting an inward breeze for that second 7-inning game of the day. BACK UNDER 8.5 (-110).
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