The market prefers the front-runners halfway through the Zurich Classic, but our guy believes the value at one Couple of South Africans lies. Read Steve’s latest thoughts here …
“Oosthuizen and Schwartzel are typically 16/1 shots and a best price of 18/1 on the high street, so 23,022 / 1 is more than fair on the stock market. “
We have reached halftime in the Zurich Classic in New Orleans and two teams are at the top and two are ahead of the rest. Here is the 36-hole ranking with prizes at 10:40 am.
Champ / Finau -13 3.814 / 5
Hovland / Ventura -13 4.84 / 1
Watson / Scheffler -11 8.27 / 1
Rose / Stenson -11 12.5
Oosthuizen / Schwartzel -10 23.022 / 1
Werenski / Uihlein -10 40.039 / 1
Leishman / Smith -9 14,013 / 1
Kokrak / Perez -9 42.041 / 1
Cream / Palmer -8 20.019 / 1
-8 and 50.049 / 1 bar
There have been three previous updates to the Zurich in this pair format, and although two of the three previous winning pairs were at the top halfway, the defeated 2017 playoff protagonists Scott Brown and Kevin Kisner sat , five ahead of the lead and the 2018 winners, Billy Horschel and Scott Piercy, were seven back.
After yesterday’s alternative shot format, the tournament is now returning to four balls (the format used on Thursday), so the rating will improve significantly. Only two teams shot four under par 68 yesterday (the best rounds of the day) and that was six shots worse than the 62 shot by Viktor Hovland and Kris Ventura and Brice Garnett and Scott Stallings on day one. The leaders have to go deep to keep their noses up front.
I was pretty tempted to put the two leading pairs but I won’t be there tonight to oversee the game. Instead, I added a small bet on the South African pairing of Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel.
Oosthuizen and Schwartzel have played against and against each other since childhood and made a big step in the third round of the 2018 event. They eventually finished third, beaten by two, and I can see they are fighting to the end again this time.
The score at the Gran Canaria Open was low on Thursday. Four players shot seven under par 63 and the field averaged only 68.29, but today it was even lower. The half-way leader Thorbjorn Olesen was one of four men who shot 61 and the field average dropped more than one shot to 67.19. Here is the 36-hole ranking with prices that were behind at 9:50 p.m.
Thorbjorn Oleson -14 5.85 / 1
Wil Besseling -13 8,415 / 2
Matthias Schwab -12 9.08 / 1
Max Kieffer -12 12.011 / 1
Rhys Enoch -12 17,016 / 1
Robin Roussel -12 38.037 / 1
Garrick Higgo -11 15.014 / 1
Maverick Antcliff -11 36.035 / 1
Sam Horsfield -10 15,014 / 1
Victor Dubuisson -10 25.024 / 1
Romain Langasque -10 30.029 / 1
-10 and 38.037 / 1 bar
With “moving day” tomorrow, the chances are the setup is even easier, and there is a chance we might even see a lap in the 50s.
I felt from the start that the pace was the right place to be here, but it’s impossible to ignore the amount of ground some players have formed today. Victor Dubuisson climbed from 59th to ninth place and Sam Horsfield jumped from 84th to ninth place.
My Find Me a Winner tip, Zander Lombard, is one of those tied for 16th and 5th place, but he has to shoot something in the low 60s to stand a chance, and me Glad I can suspend this for now and submit it to being too difficult.
I can’t pretend I’m not tempted to get Sam Horsfield aside. He played some spectacular golf this afternoon and is able to go deep again, but he is also capable of producing a bogey or two when the least expected.
“I haven’t had that much practice, expectations were pretty low.” He explained after the round.
After a wrist injury, a contract with Covid and the distraction of the birth of his son earlier this month, this is the Dane’s first start since his 13th place at golf in Dubai with a low score in December.
He hasn’t won in nearly five years, he went backwards (sat in seventh place halfway) after a brilliant start in Dubai, and he’s been overshadowed by charges of sexual assault, drunkenness on a plane and assault by hitting, overhanging him. The trial has been postponed until December, and he has to keep that on his mind. While it has a generous price tag of around 5.85 / 1, it’s hard to know how it’ll fare over the weekend and I’m glad I can sit on my hands, now you see how around three pans come out .
After an opening of 10 under par 62, the Norwegian duo of Viktor Hovland and Kris Ventura top the list of the Zurich Classic in New Orleans, alongside the Americans Brice Garnett and Scott Stallings, with up to 28 teams within just three strokes, it’s an event to be left alone for the time being.
This is the fourth edition of the event in this format, and although the first two title winners, Jonas Blixt and Cameron Smith, kept up with the pace, followed the team they beat in extra time, Kevin Kisner and Scott Brown Four strokes in a tie for 37th place after the first round, and the last two winning pairs were both more than three strokes behind the opening day.
Ryan Palmer and Jon Rahm were 33rd back in 2019 in a draw in 2019, and Billy Horschel and Scott Piercy were five back and 44th drawn a year earlier, suggesting a slow start can be overcome.
After yesterday’s four ball promotion, all 80 teams are below average, but the score today won’t be nearly as good as the teams are playing alternate balls and I’m happy to sit down and see what brings today.
After the preview was released, I added Bubba Watson and Scottie Scheffler to the portfolio as they went from 17,016 / 1 to 20,019 / 1 before launch, and like my other two selections, Tyrrell Hatton and Danny Willett, and my Find Me a 100 Winner Picks, Peter Uihlein and Richy Werenski, they got off to a good start, but there is still a long way to go.
The second round of the Gran Canaria Open is already underway and as described below, I already have a running round added as I believe the front runners should come on Sunday.
At the Gran Canaria Open the goal is not going to let up, so we should focus on the early pacemakers. He managed to get a small bet on Kieffer overnight at 4:05 p.m., and at 15 he still looks like a fair price to me. He was impressive in the competition last week. Tees at 8:40 am
The score was low on the first day and could be even lower as the players get used to the course. As highlighted in the “In-Play Tactics” section of the preview, it’s very difficult to break into an easy course and Meloneras sure is. The pre-run conversation among the caddies was of a possible 58!
Find Me a 100 Winner Pick, Zander Lombard, ended his opening round with a pair of fives to leave three behind. He may be too busy to get involved already, but I certainly haven’t given up on my only other preliminary round. Event selection, tournament director, Rafa Cabrera Bello.
When Rafa hit the bull’s-eye on the European Tour, he shot in round four of the Austrian Open 60 in 2009, so we know he’s capable of getting very low scores, even if someone after a somewhat sluggish start Can build muscle, he might.
This is an easy course with only six holes that were above average yesterday. However, if you want to bet in the race all week, keep in mind that the three toughest holes occur in the corner. The 10th is an easy par 4 that averaged 3.74 on round 1, but holes 9, 11 and 12 were all par over par.
Find me a selection of 100 winners:
Gran Canaria OpenBack Zander Lombard @ 280.0279 / 1
Order 10u @ 10.09 / 1 & 10u @ 2.35 / 4
Zurich Classic from New OrleansBack Werenski / Uihlein 2 u @ 130.0129 / 1
Order 10u @ 10.09 / 1 & 10u @ 2.01 / 1
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