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CTA research fellow Dr. Guido David said on Sunday September 26th that Metro Manila is still at “high risk” for the spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) based on the indicators used by the Covid Act Now > In its COVID-19 update released on Sunday, OCTA said Metro Manila had an average of 4,220 cases a day for the past seven days, with a one-week growth rate of -20 percent (minus 20 percent) and a reproductive number of 0.94. p> Based on OCTA monitoring, Metro Manila’s average daily COVID-19 cases and reproductive numbers have steadily declined over the past few weeks, but the region’s positivity rate remains at a “high” level.

“The positivity rate in the NCR (National Capital Region) was 19 percent in the past seven days, which is considered high, “said OCTA.

OCTA Research rates an area’s risk level based on the indicator oren des Covid Act Now developed by Harvard Global Health Institute, Apple, Microsoft, and Bloomberg.

Four indicators are used to determine an area’s risk of COVID, including incidence based on the most recent local reproductive number Administrative unit (LGU); Incidence based on the most recent 7-day mean of new cases per 100,000 population, also known as the mean daily attack rate; Hospital Intensive Care Unit Usage Rate (ICUUR); and tests related to the most recent 7-day average test positive rate.

Additionally, OCTA said Sunday that five LGUs in Metro Manila are now classified as “moderate risk”. These are Navotas, Malabon, Manila, Valenzuela and Pateros.

“It must be emphasized that the calculated risk levels are based on the Covid Act Now in the USA. This may not reflect the warning level ratings used by the DOH (Department of Health), ”OCTA said.

Ref: https://mb.com.ph