With the Prix d’Ispahan there are further group 1 promotions in Longchamp. Patrick Weaver shows a preview of the Nine-race card and introducing himself to the favorites in the main race …
“Skalleti may not be a Group One winner himself, but the top notch scalpels he has claimed include Arc winners Sottsass and Mare Australis who won the Prix Ganay. “
The most valuable race in Europe this weekend attracted two English runners, but both My Oberon and Tilsit need to improve to win the € 250,000 Group One.
Zabeel Prince was a rare British winner in 2019, and this weekend’s raiders have a tough job against a strong home team.
Skalleti is unsurprisingly the favorite for the Prix d’Ispahan at 3:15 p.m. The only time he has run on English soil was at the Champion Stakes in Ascot last October. He was second to Addeybb, finishing ahead of Magical and Serpentine – both Group 1 winners earlier in the season.
Skalleti may not be a Group One winner himself, but other top notch scalps he has claimed are the Arc- Winner Sottsass, whom he beat in Deauville last August, and Mare Australis, who won the Prix Ganay this month after finishing second at Skalleti in the Prix Harcourt here in Longchamp over 10 furlongs in April.
Ordinarily I would side with a previous Group 1 winner, and there is only one on the line-up, The Revenant, who started with Hugo Palmer in Newmarket before joining Francis Graffard for the 2018 season The Revenant won his elusive Group 1 victory at the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes over a mile at Ascot last October, beating Roseman and Palace Pier. His two most recent victories in Group Two were in the last two races of the Qatar Prix Daniel Wildenstein here in Longchamp, also over a mile.
Given that The Revenant is undefeated at Longchamp and a past Group 1 winner, why am I against him?
Firstly, he has not done as well as his best in lesser competitions at Saint-Cloud this spring. Second, and possibly more importantly, he’s run eight furlongs, and the Prix d’Ispahan is over 330 meters longer. Race distance is very important to me and The Revenant has to dig deep to complete the favorite’s challenge in the final 100 meters.
Victor Ludorum won the 2,000 French guineas last June but his challenge ended in the French derby and the Prix Guillaume d’Ornano in Deauville when he went from one mile to 10 furlongs. He was placed in both as he was when he finished in a Group 2 at Saint-Cloud earlier this month, right ahead of The Revenant and Wally. The Revenant is the trio’s shortest prize this Sunday as it had to give £ 4 to Victor Ludorum and Wally on the occasion. This time they met on plains.
And so to Tilsit and My Oberon, who have met before – last July at the Glorious Goodwood in the Bonhams Stakes. That was a Group 3 over a mile from good to firm and there wasn’t much between them. Charlie Hills once thought Tilsit might be a derby horse, but that never happened as he made his track debut too late. Hills still holds him in high regard, however, and believes he will keep that distance.
If you would support one way or the other, I suggest Tilsit, but it’s definitely Skalleti for me.Duhail has to give weight to all of his six rivals as he has a 4 pound penalty for winning a Group 2 at Saint-Cloud this month. With Group 1 winners Victor Ludorum and The Revenant behind him, it was clearly a hot competition, and Duhail stands out in that competition.
Speak Of The Devil ticks a number of boxes. She runs well the first time, has won over course and distance and was hit just one nose in the 1000 French guineas last June. However, she only won one listed and one maiden, so overthrowing Duhail is a huge challenge.
Marianafoot won four in all weathers – and was just under second in Qatar – before winning a Listed on good ground in Chantilly . Mickael Barzalona gets along well with the six year old and I can see how he is placed. he should be responsible for Manjeer again, who was back in fifth place.
Go Athletico has not yet finished the first three over course and distance. He accelerated well to pick up a Group 3 here from Sealiway and Naval Crown here last September, and has also been placed in two listed competitions. Sure, that’s a similar level, but he’s not yet landed in front of a horse as posh as Duhail.
Connections of Namos will be disappointed to see a horse of Duhail’s quality in the line-up. Namos won four Group 3 races in Germany and didn’t make a race out of them when he left his home country. He was unplaced in Newmarket and Newbury.
On the form one would expect the Prix de la Grande Arche to take place at 1:33 pm between Asterella and Izumi. The former was placed in Group 3 last season, while Izumi is “listed”.
There are four new winners on the line-up: Magic Sound (Longchamp), Abfab (Deauville), Ivresse (Chantlly) and Kaviare (Le Mans).
The form of Abfab’s win worked well with the third home, Denia, winning at Granville and the fourth winning a maiden at Compiegne
Also on the line-up is Anatiya, a winner an all-weather sprint in Wolverhampton for Ed and Simon Crisford in November. After a third in Lingfield, she changed hands on sales for 12,000 gns and ran across the field on her first launch for her new owners in Chantilly.
I wanted to go with Abfab, which is the same owned as the 2020 Arc -Winner Sottsass, who is now at the stud. Her American owner, Peter Brant t / a White Birch Farm, has already made a nice profit with her mother, Edith Wharton, after buying her for € 200,000 and selling it to Frankel for € 500,000.
Walking around them to let Brant believe Abfab can do bigger things. If so, there’s a fair chance she can justify her 15/8 overnight chances.
On a line through Denia, Music Sound is equal to Abfab and with 9/1 is more appealing than the favorite. Olivier Peslier sits in the saddle.
Back Music Sound In every direction in the 13:33 at 10.09 / 1Back Duhail to win in the 14:45 at 2.56 / 4Back Skalleti to win in the 15:15 at 2.56 / 4 to win
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