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We are going to Norway because Kev thinks we have found a 4/1 winner in the Eliteserien.

“Stabaek has leaked at least two goals in each of the last eight games, and they give up on average just over six corners per game.”

We’ve had enough bitter pills lately to make a very bad pharmacy open, and another one arrived in Brazil last night. In form, Guarani dominated the game against Sampaio Correia, but had to be content with a goalless draw.

We’re jumping back to Europe, because Stabaek meets Lillestrom, and I want the guests to shine in attack.

Lillestrom made a strong start to the campaign and collected 18 points from the first 11 games . They put together a series of seven unbeaten games, won four and drew three of those games. In five of these seven games they have scored at least two goals. It is important for our purposes that they have the highest average number of corners won per game in the Elite Series and force over seven corners per game.

Stabaek loses a lot of goals and is last. They only won one of their 11 games and conceded 24 goals. They have conceded at least twice in the last eight games. If you look at how many corners they conceded per game, the average is 6.18.

We can use the OddsOnThat section of the Sportsbook to help Lillestrom score at least two goals and at least six To force corners at 4/1. This looks overpriced given the shape of the two sides and the trends in the corners.

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