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In Turkey, it was Fenerbahce yesterday that failed in the end. Goztepe drew 1-1 that reduced our winning bet.

We’re in Italy today for one of four Serie A games that evening. Sixth-placed Fiorentina receives 15th-placed Sampdoria and Artemio Franchi should have some excitement.

La Viola is on home soil W4-D0-L2 this season, losing to third-placed Inter and leaders Napoli come. The hosts have struck ten times and won all of the last three. All six games have delivered over 2.5 goals in total.

Sampdoria have recently been promoted from the relegation zone but they are still only W2-D1-L3 this season despite only having one team in the top Have visited half of the table. In all three defeats they conceded three times, with over 2.5 goals being scored in 4/6 games.

The head-to-head record is also remarkable: both teams have won all 10 Serie A games over the past five seasons, with over 2.5 goals in 8/10 (including 4/5 in Florence) being the bet.

Since La Viola seems to be able to overwhelm its visitors – plus the strong trends on this floor for at least three game goals – we’ll combine Fiorentina to win and over 2.5 goals in a single stroke.

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